Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Trade Flow Data
Potato trade flow data shows how defined potato products move between origins and destinations over time. MassGain adds crop calendars, regional prices, processing capacity, freight, and demand so analysts can identify recurring corridors, destination concentration, substitute origins, and routes vulnerable to disruption.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato trade-flow data maps how potato products move from specific origins to specific destinations over time. Useful fields include partner country, product code, volume, value, route, season, and the type of potato product involved.
Use the data to identify recurring corridors, destination concentration, supplier dependence, and seasonal substitution. Pair flows with crop calendars, regional prices, processing capacity, freight, and trade policy so an apparent alternative source can be tested for product fit and practical deliverability.
Data Module
Potato trade-flow context
Originsupplying country or region
Destinationimporting market
Productclassified potato form
Volumequantity moved by period
Routecorridor or transport mode where available
Decision useconcentration, substitution, and network risk
Analysis
Why this matters
Bilateral flows reveal dependencies that national totals hide. A country can remain a large exporter while redirecting volume away from one customer, which can tighten that buyer's market even if aggregate exports are unchanged.
The strongest analysis distinguishes structural corridors from opportunistic trade. Stable repeat flows suggest established logistics, specifications, and customer relationships; temporary spikes may disappear when price or freight normalizes. For procurement, the key question is not who exports the most, but which origin can reliably supply the required product in the relevant window.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for market researchers, processors, logistics teams, distributors, and strategic planners that need to understand how potatoes and potato products move between origins and destinations. MassGain maps bilateral trade flows by product, country, period, volume, value, unit value, and route, then adds crop calendars, regional prices, processing capacity, freight, and demand context.
Trade-flow analysis shows relationships that national totals can hide. A country may remain a net exporter while redirecting volume away from one customer, or a processor may depend on a narrow corridor that becomes vulnerable to policy, port, or logistics disruption. MassGain helps users identify recurring seasonal flows, substitute origins, destination concentration, and changes in the economics of moving product across borders. The analysis supports sourcing diversification, network design, market-entry studies, and risk monitoring. It also distinguishes raw potatoes from seed, frozen, dehydrated, and other processed categories so users do not infer raw-material availability from unrelated finished-product trade. The result is a geographic view of who supplies whom, under what conditions, and how those connections may respond when one region tightens or a route becomes less competitive.
Use Case
A frozen-potato company relies on imports through one major corridor. MassGain shows that the supplying country has begun redirecting volume toward a higher-paying destination while freight on the existing lane is rising. Procurement qualifies a secondary origin and reserves limited capacity before the shift becomes a service disruption.
FAQs
What does potato trade flow data show?
It shows product movement between reporting countries and partners by volume, value, period, and classification.
Why are bilateral flows more useful than totals?
They reveal destination concentration, supplier dependence, route changes, and practical substitute origins.
How does MassGain add context to trade flows?
It connects movement with crop timing, prices, capacity, freight, demand, and product type.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.