Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Transaction Price Index
A potato transaction price index measures actual market clearing across qualified observed trades rather than asking prices alone. Procurement and benchmark teams can examine volume, timing, dispersion, contributor concentration, and inclusion rules before relying on the movement.
Market Data
How to read this market
A potato transaction price index tracks changes in qualified observed trades for a defined region, product, grade, crop period, unit, and delivery basis. The market object should preserve transaction timing, volume, channel, inclusion rules, weights, and treatment of outliers while distinguishing completed trades from bids, offers, and assessments.
Use the index to benchmark actual market clearing rather than asking prices. Review coverage, contributor concentration, trade size, and dispersion before relying on a move, especially in thin regional spot markets.
Data Module
Potato Transaction Price Index
ObjectIndex of qualified potato transactions
DimensionsRegion, product, grade, crop, delivery basis
MethodInclusion, weighting, outlier rules
Commercial useSupplier benchmarking and market clearing
Quality checkVolume, dispersion, contributor concentration
WatchpointThin trades can move the index disproportionately
Analysis
Why this matters
Transaction evidence is powerful because it reflects executed business, but execution alone does not guarantee representativeness. One urgent small-volume trade can clear far above routine contract or spot levels.
The analytical question is breadth. A move supported by many comparable transactions is a stronger market signal than one created by a narrow delivery window, unusual quality, or a single distressed buyer.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for procurement teams, benchmark administrators, processors, finance leaders, and market analysts that need an index built from observed potato transactions rather than broad estimates or unrelated market series. A potato transaction price index tracks changes in completed or otherwise qualified trades for a clearly defined region, product, grade, crop period, unit, and delivery basis. MassGain helps users distinguish actual transactions from bids, offers, assessments, and indicative quotes before those observations enter an index.
The index is most useful when its constituents, weighting, volume coverage, and treatment of outliers are transparent. MassGain preserves transaction timing, market channel, product attributes, and revision history so users can see whether movement is broad or driven by a few small trades. Procurement can compare supplier proposals with the relevant transaction set, finance can monitor contract or invoice movement, and governance teams can test representativeness and contributor concentration. Historical distributions also help users identify stale prices, unusual dispersion, or periods when thin trading reduces confidence. The result is an auditable market reference grounded in actual commercial evidence without implying that every private contract is visible or that one transaction price applies across all potato markets.
Use Case
A processor receives a supplier increase based on one unusually high trade. MassGain shows that the transaction involved immediate delivery and limited volume, while most comparable regional trades remain near the prior range. Procurement excludes the outlier from its normal contract comparison and accepts only a temporary premium on the genuinely exposed volume.
FAQs
What does a potato transaction price index measure?
It measures price movement across a defined set of qualified potato transactions using documented inclusion and weighting rules.
Why separate transactions from offers?
Completed trades provide different evidence from asking prices, bids, assessments, or unexecuted indications.
How does MassGain test index quality?
It reviews volume, coverage, outliers, contributor concentration, timing, product definitions, and regional representativeness.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.