Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Transaction Reporting Coverage
Potato transaction reporting coverage estimates how much eligible physical trading is visible in the reported dataset. MassGain compares submissions with shipments, processor intake, known participants, and market activity so benchmark users can see when a narrow reporting panel may not represent the broader market.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato transaction-reporting-coverage data estimates how much of eligible physical trading is captured in the transaction set used for analysis or benchmarking. The market object is reported trade volume relative to the broader commercial market by region, product, channel, participant class, and period.
Use the data to compare submitted transactions with processor intake, shipments, warehouse movement, trade records, and known participant activity. Keep the estimated denominator and its uncertainty explicit because unreported bilateral trade cannot be observed directly.
Data Module
Potato Transaction Reporting Coverage
Market objectvisible share of physical trading
Primary measuresreported volume and estimated market share
Key dimensionsregion, product, channel, participant
Commercial usebenchmark and risk validation
Coverage contexttonnes, value, contributor breadth
Compare withshipments, intake, broader market activity
Analysis
Why this matters
Low reporting coverage can make a stable benchmark look more representative than it is. If most visible trades come from one processor segment while merchants or growers transact privately, the price may describe only the reported slice.
Commercial interpretation should treat the coverage estimate as a confidence measure rather than invent the unseen trades. Weak coverage calls for broader outreach, corroborating flow data, and caution when applying the benchmark to larger exposure.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for procurement, market-intelligence, benchmark, and risk teams that need to know how much of the physical potato market is represented in transaction reporting. Reporting coverage compares captured transactions with estimated total commercial activity by region, product, channel, and period and identifies where unreported bilateral trade may distort pricing or risk analysis.
MassGain links transaction submissions with shipment volumes, processor intake, warehouse movement, trade records, contributor rosters, and known market participants. It can estimate coverage by tonnes, value, transaction count, buyer and seller breadth, or market segment. Procurement can judge whether a reported benchmark reflects its actual sourcing channel. Benchmark teams can identify underrepresented districts or participant classes. Risk managers can see when apparent price stability rests on a narrow visible market while substantial off-screen volume may be trading differently.
Complete coverage is rarely possible in fragmented physical markets. MassGain does not claim unobserved transactions are known; it documents estimated denominators, confidence, and methodological limits. The framework helps users distinguish broad transactional evidence from a small reporting panel and apply appropriate caution, outreach, and fallback methods where coverage is weak.
Use Case
A regional benchmark captures 18,000 reported tonnes in a month. MassGain compares processor receipts and shipment records and estimates the eligible market at roughly 52,000 tonnes, with fresh-market merchants especially underrepresented. The administrator expands outreach and prevents the visible processing segment from standing in for the whole region.
FAQs
What is transaction reporting coverage?
It is the share of estimated eligible market activity represented by submitted or collected transaction records.
Why can low coverage create risk?
Visible prices may reflect a narrow participant group while unreported business clears on different terms.
How does MassGain estimate the denominator?
It uses compatible shipment, intake, trade, inventory, and participant evidence with documented uncertainty.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.