Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Transitional Yield Data
Potato transitional yield data records area-based values used under applicable insurance rules when enough qualifying actual production history is not yet available. Growers and lenders can preserve geography, practice, type, source year, actual-history count, and adjustments and compare the administrative input with the farm's operating forecast.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato transitional-yield data records area-based values used under applicable crop-insurance rules when a producer lacks enough qualifying actual production history. The market object is the transitional input by county or area, practice, crop type, policy year, source date, actual-history count, and any permitted percentage adjustment.
Use the data to document which values are official insurance inputs, track how additional actual years replace transitional data, and compare the resulting coverage basis with internal farm forecasts. Preserve source and effective year so obsolete values are not reused.
Data Module
Potato Transitional Yield Data
Market objectarea-based insurance yield input
Primary measuretransitional yield value
Key dimensionsgeography, practice, type, year
Commercial useinsurance-record and lender review
Method contextactual-history count and adjustments
Compare withdemonstrated farm yield and current forecast
Analysis
Why this matters
Transitional yield can support insurance calculation without proving the farm can produce that level. A new grower's administrative yield and demonstrated operating performance are different evidence sets.
Commercial interpretation should keep them separate in credit and production planning. As actual history accumulates, the relative weight of the transitional assumption should decline under the applicable methodology.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
Growers, crop-insurance professionals, agricultural lenders, and analysts use potato transitional yield data when a producer lacks enough qualifying actual production history for a complete yield record. Transitional values are established under applicable program and geographic rules and may be blended with actual yields as the producer builds experience.
MassGain organizes the relevant county or area values, practice, crop type, year, source date, actual-yield count, and any percentage adjustments used in the record. Growers can see which values are official inputs and which are internal forecasts. Lenders can understand why an insured yield differs from recent farm performance. Risk teams can model how coverage changes as additional actual years replace transitional data and how that affects revenue protection, borrowing, and contract decisions.
MassGain does not publish official insurance determinations, select a transitional value, or provide insurance advice. It provides a transparent data-governance layer that preserves the source and calculation context, prevents obsolete values from being reused, and connects insurance yield assumptions with current potato-market and production risk. Users can therefore distinguish administrative yield support from demonstrated farm productivity.
Use Case
A new potato grower has only two years of production history. MassGain records the applicable transitional yield, the percentage used, and the two actual years, then models how the approved yield may change as more history develops. The lender uses the official coverage basis separately from its own conservative operating forecast.
FAQs
What is a transitional potato yield?
It is an area-based value used under applicable crop-insurance rules when sufficient actual history is unavailable.
Does transitional yield prove farm productivity?
No. It supports insurance calculation but is not a substitute for demonstrated field performance.
How does MassGain govern the data?
It tracks source, geography, practice, year, adjustments, actual-history count, and calculation use.
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Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.