Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Potato Unpriced Volume Exposure
Potato unpriced volume exposure measures required or expected volume whose final purchase price remains sensitive to future market conditions. Separate fully open tonnes from formula-linked, capped, floored, or lagged pricing and map each tranche to the regional benchmark and timing that drive its risk.
Market Data
How to read this market
Potato unpriced-volume-exposure data measures required or expected potato volume whose final purchase price remains sensitive to future market conditions. The market object is open pricing exposure by plant, product, supplier, crop period, delivery window, benchmark, and pricing mechanism.
Use the data to separate fully open tonnes from formula-linked, capped, floored, or lagged pricing and to estimate which regional markets drive the eventual cost. Pair exposure with seasonal basis, crop outlook, storage, available supply, contracts, and demand scenarios.
Data Module
Potato Unpriced Volume Exposure
Market objectopen potato pricing exposure
Primary measurevolume with unresolved price
Key dimensionsplant, product, benchmark, delivery period
Commercial usebudget and procurement risk
Protection typesformula, cap, floor, lag
Compare withcrop, basis, supply, contract terms
Analysis
Why this matters
Unpriced does not mean equally exposed. A benchmark formula with a cap has a different risk profile from a pure spot requirement, even if neither has a final invoice price today.
Commercial interpretation should quantify both volume and sensitivity. The largest nominal open position may matter less than a smaller tranche tied to a volatile late-storage region with limited substitution.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for procurement, finance, and market-intelligence teams that need to quantify potato requirements whose final price has not yet been fixed. Unpriced volume exposure includes forecast demand, contracted tonnes with open formulas, optional purchases, or expected spot needs that remain sensitive to future market movement. MassGain connects that volume with the regional potato markets most likely to determine its eventual cost.
The suite maps each open tonne to plant, product, supplier, crop period, pricing mechanism, delivery window, and relevant benchmark. It then combines the exposure with current prices, seasonal basis, crop outlook, storage, available supply, and scenario ranges. Procurement can prioritize which open positions deserve attention. Finance can estimate budget-at-risk rather than applying one broad inflation assumption. Commercial teams can understand when customer pricing may lag raw-material exposure.
Unpriced does not always mean uncontrolled. Some volumes may have caps, formulas, index lags, or substitution options that limit sensitivity. MassGain distinguishes fully open exposure from partially protected or mechanically priced volume. It does not predict the exact settlement price or recommend derivatives. It provides the structured market view needed to measure how much volume is exposed, what drives it, and where fixing, diversifying, or preserving flexibility may create the best commercial outcome.
Use Case
A processor has 18,000 tonnes scheduled for spring delivery but only half carry a fixed price. MassGain separates formula-linked, capped, and fully open tonnes and shows the largest risk sits in one late-storage region. Procurement fixes part of that tranche while keeping nearby new-crop volume open.
FAQs
What is unpriced potato volume exposure?
It is required or expected volume whose final purchase price remains open to future market conditions.
Are formula-priced tonnes fully unpriced?
Not necessarily; formulas, caps, floors, and lags can create partial rather than complete exposure.
How does MassGain quantify the risk?
It maps open tonnes to benchmarks, timing, regions, contracts, and market scenarios.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.