Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Usda Potato Acreage
USDA potato acreage tracks planted and harvested area by state, crop year, and reporting vintage. MassGain combines acreage with weather, yield expectations, variety mix, seed, contracts, and regional demand so growers, processors, and lenders can assess production capacity without treating acres as final usable supply.
Market Data
How to read this market
USDA potato acreage data tracks planted and harvested area by state, crop year, and reporting vintage. Acreage is an early supply indicator because it shows how much land entered potato production before yield and quality are known.
Use acreage with weather, yield expectations, seed availability, variety mix, processor contracts, and regional demand. The measure is most useful for identifying where production capacity may be expanding or contracting, not for predicting final output by itself.
Data Module
USDA potato acreage context
Planted areaacres initially planted
Harvested areaacres expected or brought to harvest
Geographystate or production region
Crop yearseason represented
Revisionschanges across reporting vintages
Decision usesupply forecast and contract planning
Analysis
Why this matters
More acreage does not guarantee more usable potatoes. Yield, abandonment, crop quality, and product mix determine final commercial output, and a national increase can conceal declines around specific processing or fresh-market regions.
Acreage is therefore best treated as a capacity signal. The important question is where the acres are, which varieties and end uses they support, and whether yield conditions allow that land to translate into marketable supply. Regional context matters more than the headline total.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for growers, processors, seed suppliers, agricultural lenders, and market analysts that use USDA potato acreage data as an early indicator of future U.S. supply. MassGain organizes planted and harvested acreage by state, crop year, reporting vintage, and available crop-use categories, then connects area changes with yield, weather, seed availability, processor demand, and historical production.
Acreage is informative, but it cannot be interpreted as production on its own. More planted acres may be offset by weaker yield, abandonment, quality problems, or a shift toward varieties and end uses that do not serve the buyer’s market. A stable national figure can also conceal meaningful regional changes around specific plants or borrowers. MassGain helps users compare planting intentions with final acreage, track revisions, and determine whether the acres relevant to processing, fresh, seed, or other channels are expanding. The page supports contract planning, regional supply forecasts, borrower scenarios, seed-demand analysis, and planting decisions. It turns an official acreage statistic into a geographically and commercially relevant indicator rather than treating every U.S. potato acre as interchangeable.
Use Case
A lender sees USDA potato acreage increase and initially improves its sector outlook. MassGain shows the expansion is concentrated in a region serving fresh markets, while processing acreage around several borrowers remains flat and water risk has increased. The credit team keeps its existing yield and revenue stress assumptions for those accounts.
FAQs
What does USDA potato acreage include?
It includes official planted and harvested area estimates by state, crop year, and reporting period.
Does higher acreage guarantee higher production?
No. Yield, abandonment, weather, quality, variety, and harvest conditions determine final usable output.
How does MassGain make USDA acreage actionable?
It connects area with yield, crop progress, seed, contracts, regional demand, and historical production.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.