Current UCUI
68/100
Moderate-High Uncertainty
+4 points from prior reading
Potato Market Intelligence
Usda Potato Stocks
USDA potato stocks provide an official inventory snapshot by covered geography, crop year, reporting date, and holder category. MassGain places those figures beside commitments, storage quality, historical drawdown, processing demand, and regional prices so users can distinguish reported tonnes from accessible supply.
Market Data
How to read this market
USDA potato stocks data provides an official measure of potatoes held at defined reporting dates across covered states or regions. Useful analysis preserves crop year, reporting period, holder category, revision status, and the relationship between total stocks and the product actually needed by the user.
Use the figures as a national or regional inventory benchmark, then adjust for commitments, quality, variety, location, and storage condition. The official total is best interpreted alongside historical drawdown, processing demand, and current physical-market prices.
Data Module
USDA potato stocks context
Reporting dateofficial inventory snapshot
Geographycovered states or regions
Crop yearinventory vintage
Holder categoryreported ownership or storage class
Historical drawdownseasonal comparison
Decision usecoverage, storage, and supply-risk review
Analysis
Why this matters
USDA stocks can exceed commercially accessible supply. Potatoes may already be committed, held far from the relevant plant, unsuitable for a specification, or deteriorating in storage.
The analytical value is therefore in the relationship between official inventory and usable local coverage. A comfortable national stocks number can coexist with a tight regional processing market, while low stocks may be manageable when new crop or alternate origins are near. MassGain should translate the official aggregate into the market actually being sourced.
Signal 01
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index
UCUI translates crop and market complexity into a simple uncertainty signal. Higher readings indicate greater uncertainty—not necessarily higher prices.
Understand uncertainty. Anticipate risk. Act earlier.
UCUI is designed to analyze potato-industry publications and data signals across regions, varieties, weather, disease, storage, supply, and demand.
WeatherHigh
DiseaseHigh
StorageMedium
SupplyMedium
Single-day snapshot based on a scan of 11,500+ web and social signals. Get historical and real-time data by clicking the button below.
The MassGain Daily
Today’s market analysis.
A daily editorial synthesis of physical potato data, crop signals, market reporting, and what participants should watch next.
September 16, 2026Latest MassGain publication
Potato market steady for now; Russia’s smaller crop is the salient risk
Spot prices are flat and USDA terminal reports read ‘market steady,’ but a renewed forecast for a smaller Russian harvest and recent regional harvest stress leave seasonal import timing and storage losses as the key uncertainty.
Signal 02
MassGain Potato Index
Independent physical-pricing intelligence and market-trend analysis for procurement, forecasting, contracting, and scenario planning.
Core Russet Carton Median
312.45 USD/MT
Latest qualifying physical-market observation
+4.75 (+1.55%)
Price discovery for the physical potato market
MPI is designed to track physical pricing data, price trends, deltas, and divergences across regions and potato types.
Series window45 days
Current public coverageCore russet cartons
Primary source basisQualifying USDA physical rows
UnitUSD per metric tonne
Single-day snapshot based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varieties by clicking the button below.
Signal 03
MassGain Spot Reference
An independent spot reference designed for price discovery, contract discussions, procurement comparisons, and risk modeling.
Russet Burbank — U.S. Midsize
305 USD/MT
Demonstration reference format
+1.6% WoW · Confidence: High
A trusted benchmark for pricing, contracts, and risk
MSR is intended to use real transactions and verifiable physical-market data to support negotiations, price checks, contracting, and risk models.
ProductRusset Burbank
SpecificationU.S. midsize, 40–70 count
Reference typePhysical spot benchmark
StatusIn development
Based on most recent 45 days worth of data. Limited to US Russets only. Get more complete, global data about all varities by clicking the button below. Full access also includes historical data -- including depreciated NYMEX/CBOE/EEX spot references -- projections, trends, and AI-driven insights.
The MassGain Product Ladder
From insight to intelligence to action
Four integrated products built for the physical potato market, delivered through public pages, reports, exports, dashboards, and API access.
1
Content
Original research, commentary, aggregated news, and market updates.
- What matters right now?
- What is happening out there?
2
UCUI™
Usable Crop Uncertainty Index: an AI-powered signal of crop risk and market uncertainty.
- Understand uncertainty
- Anticipate risk
- Act earlier
3
MPI™
MassGain Potato Index: independent physical-pricing intelligence and trend analysis.
- Price discovery
- Regional trends
- Procurement planning
4
MSR™
MassGain Spot Reference: an independent benchmark for price discovery and risk modeling.
- Contracts
- Negotiations
- Risk models
Content + UCUI + MPI + MSR + API access
Get historical series, regional detail, constituent data, exports, alerts, and direct data access.
Overview
Who is this for?
This page is for procurement teams, processors, growers, lenders, analysts, and storage operators that use USDA potato stocks data to assess U.S. inventory. MassGain organizes the official figures by reporting period, state or region where available, holder category, crop year, and revision status, then connects them with historical drawdown, storage quality, processing demand, and market prices.
USDA stocks are an important benchmark, but the reported total is not identical to open or usable supply. Potatoes may be committed, unsuitable for a specific plant, held in another region, or declining in quality. MassGain helps users compare current stocks with seasonal norms, identify which components drive the change, and translate the official number into commercial implications. Processors can assess late-season coverage, growers can evaluate marketing pace, lenders can review collateral and borrower exposure, and procurement teams can decide whether supplemental sourcing deserves attention. The result is an official-data view enhanced with the physical and market context needed to understand what the stocks report means for actual availability.
Use Case
USDA reports potato stocks near the historical average, but a processor continues to receive tight-supply warnings. MassGain shows that suitable processing stocks in the company’s region are drawing down faster and that much of the remaining inventory is committed. Procurement secures limited alternate coverage before the aggregate national figure turns into a local shortage.
FAQs
What does USDA potato stocks data measure?
It measures reported potato inventories by defined states, periods, crop years, and holder categories.
Why can USDA stocks exceed accessible supply?
Inventory may be committed, unsuitable, geographically distant, or affected by storage quality.
How does MassGain add value to USDA stocks?
It connects the official figures with regional drawdown, quality, contracts, demand, prices, and historical patterns.
Put this market intelligence to work
Get historical data, regional detail, benchmarks, alerts, exports, and API access tailored to your procurement
and market-analysis needs.
Data and Methodology
Professional market-data standards
MassGain is building transparent public market infrastructure. Each live metric will identify its date, unit, coverage, methodology, and source basis.
Data provenance
MassGain uses public, licensed, contributed, and independently derived physical-market information. Source availability and publication schedules vary.
Timing and revisions
Figures may reflect the latest available observation rather than a same-day transaction. Source data and MassGain calculations may be corrected, restated, or revised.
Not transactional pricing
MassGain figures are informational reference values and do not constitute executable bids, offers, settlements, or guarantees that a transaction can occur at the displayed value.
No individualized advice
Content and data are provided for informational and analytical purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, trading, or individualized procurement advice.
Independent publication
Certain observations may be derived from USDA reports. MassGain is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the USDA.
Commercial use and licensing
Public display does not grant rights to reproduce, redistribute, republish, or incorporate MassGain indices or references into commercial products or contracts without authorization.